Is peace in Ukraine within reach or is the real question whether Moscow finally feels the pressure?
Trump signals impatience. Kellogg speaks of the “last 10 yards.”
Europe faces a choice: strength and dialogue or endless war.
Watch my full take below.
#Ukraine #Europe #Geopolitics #Security
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Now the U.S.-Ukraine mineral deal becomes strategically even more critical for the US. This is a classic case of systemic pressure (China’s power projection) intersecting with US domestic industrial vulnerabilities.
www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/china-asks-kor…
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**EU Likely to Delay Russian Fuel Phase-Out Plan by a Month**
Two interesting points from the article
1/ **LNG from Moscow remains one of Europe’s last major energy dependencies after pipeline flows through Ukraine ended at the end of last year. The EU brought in
record volumes
of the super-chilled fuel from Russia last year, with France, Spain and Belgium the biggest importers. A number of EU countries still also import nuclear fuel from the country.**
2/ **A group of 10 EU nations had been pushing to toughen measures against Russia by introducing restrictions on natural gas and LNG, However, those efforts are complicated by the need to secure unanimity among all the 27 members of the bloc. The commission has set itself a non-binding goal to be free of Russian supplies by 2027.**
Link: www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-27/eu-like…
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In 2012, Ian Bremmer, an American political scientist and founder of the Eurasia Group, published a book explaining the power vacuum in international politics, where no single country or group of countries takes the lead. Ian Bremmer believes that this point has arrived in 2025. He argues that we are in a uniquely dangerous period in world history, similar to the 1930s and the early Cold War. Geopolitically Correct looks at the consequences for European countries and the implications for governments and businesses.
geopoliticallycorrect.substack.com/p/is-europe-rea…
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US finalizes rules banning Chinese, Russian smart cars
www.voanews.com/a/us-finalizes-rules-banning-chine…
Two interesting points from the article:
1/ while connected vehicles offer advantages, the involvement of foreign adversaries such as China and Russia in their supply chains presents serious risks granting “malign actors unfettered access to these connected systems and the data they collect.”
2/ The crackdown on cars follows Washington’s announcement earlier this month that the U.S. consider new rules aimed at addressing risks posed by drones that utilize technology from China and Russia.
*Don’t want to miss the next story in European geopolitics?* geopoliticallycorrect.substack.com/
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Russia’s war economy is a house of cards
www.ft.com/content/61adaed4-ac9a-4891-afb6-b3ad648…
Two interesting points from the article:
1/
Russia is engaged in massive money printing, outsourced so that it does not show up on the public balance sheet. Kennedy estimates the total at about 20 per cent of Russia’s 2023 national output, comparable to the cumulative on-budget allocations for the full-scale war.
2/
Putin, in short, does not have time on his side. He sits on a ticking financial time bomb of his own making. The key for Ukraine’s friends is to deny him the one thing that would defuse it: greater access to external funds.
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**European imports of liquefied natural gas from Russia at ‘record levels’**
www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jan/09/europe…
Two interesting points from the article:
1/
Europe bought a record amount of liquefied natural gas from Russia last year, data shows, despite EU efforts to ditch the fossil fuels funding Putin’s war chest.
Ships carrying 17.8m tonnes of ultra-cold Russian gas docked in European ports in 2024, up by more than 2m tonnes from the year before, according to analysts Rystad Energy.
2/
Europe has slashed its vast imports of piped Russian gas since the start of the war in Ukraine but has increasingly bought shipments of LNG from a number of countries, including Russia. Last year, it overtook Qatar as Europe’s second-biggest supplier of LNG, behind the US.
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1/
Donald Trump pushes back Ukraine war deadline in sign of support for Kyiv
www.ft.com/content/989dc02e-2a13-4c21-8ad0-0b32e09…
Three interesting points:
2/
Two European officials told the Financial Times that discussions with Trump’s incoming team in recent weeks revealed they had not yet decided on how to solve the conflict, and that support to Ukraine would continue after the US president’s inauguration on January 20.
3/
The incoming administration was also wary of comparisons being made with Joe Biden’s calamitous US withdrawal from Afghanistan, which was something the Trump camp would not like to see repeated in Ukraine, the official added.
4/
Western officials including Nato secretary-general Mark Rutte have sought to stress the importance of Trump ensuring "peace through strength" in Ukraine, and avoiding a defeat for Kyiv that would embolden Putin and his allies in China, Iran and North Korea.
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On January 1, 2025 the gas transit agreement between Ukraine and Russia ended. This gas route has been operated for five decades. Geopolitically Correct looks at the consequences for European countries and the implications for governments and businesses.
https://youtu.be/EciHPlefq9I?si=kAU-l...
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Geopolitically Correct focuses on analysis and commentary on European geopolitics and Western resilience. We are politically non-partisan and rely on reason and humanism as our guiding values.
Geopolitically Correct was founded by Yannick Scheidegger in 2023.
Joined 16 May 2023