37:18

Maxim Lott on Media Narratives and Forecasting Russia-Ukraine

51:23

Tom Chivers on Nuance, Numeracy, and Forecasting in News Media

55:55

Tina Fordham on Political Risk, Forecasting, and 2022 Risks

33:52

CMC 004 - John Phillips, PredictIt Co-Founder and CEO

44:52

Forecasting the Omicron Variant with Juan Cambeiro

58:40

Crowd Money Cast 003 - Hedgehog Markets Founder, George Yu

01:09:43

The GGWP Finale: (almost) A Year of Global Guessing (Ep. 21/21)

57:10

GGWP 20 w/ Manas Chawla - London Politica, Geopolitical Risk, and Forecast Accuracy

01:00:45

GGWP 19 w/ David McCullough - Why Good Forecasting Questions Matter!

01:06:43

GGWP 18 w/ David Manheim - Pandemic Preparedness and 💉 Challenge Trials

50:31

Crowd Money Cast 002 - Jason Trost, Smarkets Founder and CEO

40:55

💰 Crowd Money Cast 001 - Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara (Kalshi Co-Founders)

50:07

GGWP 17 w/ John Fowler: International Intrigue & Limits of Geopolitical Forecasting

01:01:12

What Juan Cambeiro Learned Forecasting Interest Rates, Tokyo Olympics, and COVID

01:03:18

GGWP 16 w/ Satopaa and Salikhov - BIN Model of Forecasting (Bias, Information, Noise)

47:51

GGWP 15 w/ Phillip Orchard - Geopolitical Futures, US-China Competition, Forecasting Methods

01:02:38

Datscilly: The #1 Metaculus Forecaster who won ~$50,000 from IARPA

43:56

How Superforecaster Carolyn Meinel Predicted the 2001 Code Red Worm Attack | The Right Side of Maybe

01:14:33

GGWP 14 w/ Gaia Dempsey - Metaculus, the Future of Forecasting, and Entrepreneurship

56:56

GGWP 13 - A Metaculus Mondays Special | 2021 Israel-Palestine Conflict

01:15:06

GGWP 12 w/ Michael Hilliard of The Red Line Podcast - Afghanistan, Donbass, and Beijing Olympics

01:02:21

GGWP 11 w/ Tom Liptay and Michael Story - Founding Maby & Forecasting Adoption

51:15

How Superforecaster Tom Liptay Got COVID Right | The Right Side of Maybe

41:12

GGWP 10 - Donbass, Peru 2021, and BIN Model of Forecasting

11:54

Forecast Walkthrough: Predicting the End of the Suez Canal Blockage

05:20

Geopolitical Significance of China's Polar Silk Road in the Arctic

01:33:09

GGWP 9 w/ Ross of AR Global Security - Conflict in Donbass Between Russia and Ukraine?

59:50

How David Manheim Forecasted COVID-19 Vaccines | The Right Side of Maybe

55:40

GGWP 8 w/ Pavel Atanasov: Good Judgement Project, Markets vs Polls, Machine Forecasting

39:37

How Peter Wildeford Forecasted the Ever Given Crisis and Profited | The Right Side of Maybe

01:09:18

GGWP 7 w/ Regina Joseph and Pavel Atanasov: The Human Forest

01:24:19

GGWP 6 w/ Saar Wilf - What is Rootclaim, Syria Chemical Attacks, COVID Origins

04:16

Ross on Starting AR Global Security, Growth on TikTok - Podcast Highlight

12:17

The Rise and Future of Hybrid Warfare - Ross from AR Global Security

46:36

GGWP 5 - US-China Summit, Forecasting and Geopolitics Books, New North Korea Tensions

01:03:45

GGWP 4 w/ Ross of AR Global Security - Future of Statehood, Hybrid Warfare, Arctic Geopolitics

06:54

How Can Metaculus Improve Forecast Scoring to Incentive Good Community Predictions?

04:00

Dr. Devlen Answers: Does Academia Have Bad Incentives for Accurate Forecasts?

01:03:30

GGWP 3 - Metaculus Scoring Controversy, Future of US-China Competition, Rootclaim Intrigue

02:22

Forecasting in Corporate America: Convincing People "An Uphill Battle" - Superforecaster Dr. Devlen

17:08

Live Metaculus Forecast: Will North Korea Launch an ICBM in 2021?

01:34

Dr. Devlen on Whether US and European Governments Prioritize Accurate Forecasts

05:51

"TOTALLY Missed It": Balkan Devlen Reflects on Two Past Predictions

54:02

GGWP 2 - Israeli-Saudi Relations After Khashoggi, Road to Superforecasting, Korea ICBM Test in 2021?

49:13

GGWP 1 w/ Dr. Balkan Devlen - Theory in Forecasting, Incentives, Prediction Retrospectives