Views : 312,686
Genre: Education
Date of upload: Premiered Oct 4, 2023 ^^
Rating : 4.856 (385/10,332 LTDR)
RYD date created : 2024-05-04T23:52:17.973584Z
See in json
Top Comments of this video!! :3
The smoking bit reminds me of a silly anecdote when Bertrand Russell was asked if he was concerned about smoking impacting his health. He said that one time he was going on a flight, and they told him he couldn't smoke on the airplane, so he decided to delay his trip rather than go without smoking for a few hours, and the plane ended up crashing.
117 |
My statistical way of thinking: of a mindset care for probabilities, historical data, an assessment of assets and liabilities before pursuits of actualization occurs.
My interactive way of thinking: of a mindset care that awaits or hunts for societal circumstances that appears to 'door' or facilitate pursuits of actualization.
My chaotic way of thinking: of a mindset care for rolling the dice-- a 'just do it' actualization pursuit that minds no statistical odds or favorable circumstances and may even lack certainty of what actualization looks like. It is a pleasant surprise when no sense of chaos follows an unstudied action.
My complex way of thinking: of a mindset that utilizes statistical and interactive cognitive intelligence to facilitate pursuits of actualization.
I do believe success is most likely when complex thinking is applied. Additionally, the way of thinking determines what the mind is inclined to focus upon; what we focus upon occurs within mindsets. If I am of a Will to think in a manner that invites the possibility of chaos, there would be no consideration of mindsets associated with statistical or interactive thinking. Often, it is the actualization objective and not the Will that dictates the mind's cognitive cascade options-- care of success demands management of one's Will, usually.
There is a control 'care' in mathematical logic; through an understanding or a care of the answer, one controls the problem.
The lecture's turn towards discerned marital controls that are implemented and sustained, if "care" exists, is of complex thinking that minds objective (statistical) and subjective (interactive) truths. The identified existential marital problem has a determined answer that is not natural within our lecturer-- conscious, willful "control" of his natural inclinations is the answer that he believes "care" will sustain. If a strong "care" becomes weakly felt, the answer and the "manipulations required" will feel a key to a prison versus a key to greater marital happiness; sustaining a marital reality that survives upon an unnatural answer, of little care, is difficult-- even grit requires passion to exist in its application.
Addendum: What is in grit? A Will to persevere, despite any headwinds of statistical and/or interactive inform. What does perseverance require? A deeply held belief that a pursuit will see actualized success. What is in belief? A measured patience that is governed by an adjustable long view.
When the long view dies, all that underpins grit dies; grit may require an ability to visualize and intensely feel an anticipated actualization of victory. What a grit-gifted victorious actualization satisfies is dependent upon the state of one's ego and other psychological influences; a satisfied ego (no circumspect psychological insecurities or of a felt need to proof/validate identity associations of gender, abilities, intelligence, etc.), scar-free interactive psychological truth (never felt derisively underestimated or had declared goals disparaged and/or discouraged) and/or of no passion to defy odds-- less likely to endure pursuits of actualization that requires grit.
Some form of anticipated internal resolution, validation or balm-- beyond the externalized actualization pursuit-- exists in the long view of a grit-driven pursuit, I believe.
8 |
A relatively minor point in the talk as a whole but the bit about grit being a good indicator of success is spot on in my experience. I've worked in a technical field for ~30 years so I've observed plenty of folk through those years. Grit is a much better measure of how good an engineer a person will make than GPA or similar.
4 |
John Maynard Keynes 'principle of uncertainty' in economics states that we can predict the very near future with some degree of success, but the more distant, the more uncertain we become; thus, mathematical modelling in economics is not a science of absolutes; rather, it's a social science of human infinite variability—a perfect example of chaos theory. Daniel Kahneman later backed this up in behavioural economic theory.
Also Adam Smith wrote, that the market in the long run will return to an equilibrium, to which Keyens replied, in the long run we're all dead! (ie the disaster that was 1930s and the 2010s, both unnecessary suffering, we can always afford a war, so let's win the peace).
7 |
55:11 A pattern is as complex as the length of the shortest description that can be used to produce it.
Andrei Nikolaevich Kolmogorov
41 |
@ChronicleContent
6 months ago
Timestamps: 0:00:02 - Introduction to talk on applied mathematics and thinking styles. 0:03:03 - Ronald Fisher's life and work at Cambridge University. 0:05:57 - Testing if milk affects tea taste with experiments. 0:08:42 - Designing experiments using combinatorics. 0:11:31 - Gary Neville statistic measures player performance after conceding a goal. 0:14:17 - Statistics used to rank top players, limitations of measurement. 0:17:00 - Explaining the limitations of statistics in 10 words. 0:19:46 - Eugenics, smoking, and misuse of statistics. 0:22:25 - Context matters in statistical significance and causation. 0:25:13 - Balanced chemical reactions and ecological models explained with math. 0:27:46 - Mathematical modeling of foxes and rabbits. 0:30:32 - Analysis of applause and social recovery in groups. 0:33:12 - Human behavior equation: non-smiling person + 2 smiley people = 3 smiley people. 0:35:55 - Using physics-based models to scout football players. 0:38:51 - Introduction to chaos theory and Margaret Hamilton. 0:41:29 - Weather simulation error due to decimal input mistake. 0:44:05 - Generating divergent numbers through a simple process. 0:47:06 - Chaos, Margaret Hamilton, and the importance of control. 0:49:55 - Finding balance between order and chaos in life. 0:52:33 - Simple rules create complex patterns in simulations. 0:55:21 - Capturing complexity in science through detailed descriptions. Follow me for more AI
150 |