Both Ukraine and Russia are interested in preserving a grain export deal unblocking Ukraine's Black Sea ports, but its implementation will be under constant threat as Moscow considers continued control over Ukraine's grain exports as critical leverage over Kyiv and the West.

On July 22, Russian and Ukrainian officials each signed separate agreements with Turkey and the United Nations allowing the export of grain from three of Ukraine's ports on the Black Sea, including the one in the Ukrainian city of Odesa. The deal will be valid for 120 days from the signing date.

Ukraine's military said two Kalibr missiles hit a fuel pumping station in Odesa, while Russia claimed the strikes hit a Ukrainian warship and weapons stored at the city's port.

The deal is crucial for Ukraine's economy and Russia also expects economic and political benefits from it, which increases the probability of its implementation.

But the grain export deal will remain under constant threat as Russia will use provocative actions to signal its leverage over Ukraine and the West.

#ukraine #russia #grain

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