30:56

Universa's Bernoulli for Portfolio Simulation: Correcting the Empirical Distribution

01:02:53

Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 4

01:05:24

Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 3

01:06:34

Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 2

01:09:42

Scott Patterson's Chaos Kings, Part 1

01:56:34

STEPHEN WOLFRAM VISITS RWRI 19, SUMMER SCHOOL 2024

01:31

How to bluff when you don't know what you are talking about.

04:23

MINI LECTURE 18: How to build a positive definite correlation matrix for Monte Carlo simulations

05:03

MINI LECTURE 17: Maximum Ignorance Probability (a bit more technical)

06:22

MINI LECTURE 16: On the Absurdity of Standard Genetics Reports.

02:17:45

Stephen Wolfram visits RWRI 18 (Summer Workshop)

12:13

MINI LECTURE 15 - Conditional vs. unconditional correlation: twin studies overestimate heredity.

08:24

MINI TUTORIAL: How to look at risk ratios & deal with disinformation: Saturated Fats & Nina Teicholz

03:54

A medical paper that does not replicate. Why?

04:49

No, Covid is not an "old" person's problem.

10:51

QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 2: We don't use Black-Scholes, the simpler derivation vindicating Bachelier.

15:36

QUANTITATIVE FINANCE 1: Deriving Black-Sholes via Itô's lemma (the dynamic hedging approach)

05:57

Disinformation and Fooled by Randomness

16:12

QUANT FINANCE 1 - Why We Never Use the Black Scholes Equation, 1

23:48

Conversation with Yaneer on Covid with mild disagreements.

24:46

MINI LECTURE 14 A First Course on Fragility, Convexity, and Antifragility (Nontechnical).

05:52

MINI LECTURE 13b - Technical Appendix. How to fix the problem of power laws with compact support.

16:43

MINI LECTURE 13 - Claims that Violence Has Dropped Are Not Statistical

04:56

MINI LECTURE 12: How to Look at the Risks of Covid Vaccines

05:33

MINI LESSON 11b: Drawdowns and Logs

02:30

MINI LESSON 11: Path dependence in 2 ½ minutes

03:36

MINI LESSON 10: Simpson's Paradox & Its Exploitation by Covid Sociopaths in 3 ½ min.

02:40

Supply Chain: The Convexity in 2 ½ minutes.

11:45

MINI LESSON 9c: Detecting Quackery in a Psychology Paper

01:56

MIN-LESSON 9b: 2 min technical comments for Mini Lesson 9.

13:51

MINI-LESSON 9: Evidence Based Science & Mistakes in Particularizing the General (Simplified)

13:47

Comments on the "Bitcoin Black Paper" (Why Bitcoin is Worth Exactly 0)

13:36

MIN-LESSON 8b: (Power Laws) Q& A

23:51

MINI-LESSON 8: Power Laws (maximally simplified)

09:26

MINI LESSON 7: P-Values and P-Value Hacking: a simplified lecture.

13:46

MINI-LESSON 6: Fooled by Metrics (Correlation)

06:14

The Gates Foundation is Repeating the Errors of Mao

14:16

MINI-LESSON 5: Correlation, the intuition. Doesn't mean what people usually think it means.

10:28

MINI-LESSON 4: CLT, The Central Limit Theorem, a nontechnical presentation.

10:22

MINI-LESSON 3: The Law of Large Numbers. A very intuitive introduction.

05:32

MINI-LESSON 2: Fat Tails, a Very, Very Introductory Presentation.

10:07

MINI-LESSON 1: Breaking down intuitively the concept of standard deviation. Why pple don't get it.

26:23

How to Price an Election: A Martingale Approach- Discussion with Dhruv Madeka

08:43

Fake Regression by psychologists

33:48

Covid Risk Conversation: Yaneer Bar-Yam and Nassim Nicholas Taleb

08:22

Ellipticality and Portfolios: Informal conversation with Raphael Douady (in French)

08:46

Ellipticality (Technical)

27:42

Tail risk of contagious diseases: a conversation with coauthor Pasquale Cirillo

04:07

What You See and Don't See: Hidden Moments of a Probability Distribution.

03:30

Never use single point estimates for pandemics

09:03

From the Convexity of Masks to No-Convexity Ben

03:56

MINI LECTURE 8c: A simple tricks to see the effect of power laws

06:50

The Corona Crisis is Not a Black Swan: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Universa Inv. & NYU Tandon)

08:03

How you will go bust on a favorable bet. (Kelly/Shannon/Thorp)

01:30:51

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Lebanon: From Ponzi to Localism

16:00

Localism as a Solution for Lebanon, Summary of the LAU Lecture (in Lebanese)

01:41

Lebanon discovers localism

05:28

NOTE TO MINI-LESSON 2- It is a 10 sigma event or are you wrong about the world? Wittgenstein's Ruler

05:06

IQ is a scientific swindle --A brief explanation of the math

00:53

Recording #57